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an alarm without Foundations from fanciful interpretations

an alarm without Foundations from fanciful interpretations

Studies things that were already known are presented as new. The intention is to raise the level of alarm and fear in the population forces policy makers to impose the absurd recommendations of the Kyoto Treaty.

manipulation that makes measurements and observations from satellites and ground stations is the way you write the press releases giving as much of a new study on climate. We have developed a technique that involves writing a lot of things that do not correspond with reality and bring us to false conclusions. This is what is known as "disinformation." An example of this is the press release issued by NASA on satellite measurements QuickScan on "meltdown" West Antarctica during January 2005. Background




To fully understand the intent of this peculiar way of "doing science" that has become fashionable in recent years, it is necessary to know the amount of atmospheric scientists working in the field of climate research has increased as well as mushrooms after a rain. Climate research is an activity terribly costly, because any study involving satellite observations, field trips to Antarctica and Greenland, the use of large electronic and mechanical equipment, holes in the ice at 2000 meters depth, maintenance staff in the field, and subsequent use of time of Cray supercomputers for the further analysis of the observations, no less than three to five million dollars.

The money is normally provided by governments, especially the United States, investing more than 4 billion dollars annually in research of weather phenomena. The officials who awarded the money to research items they do when there is a powerful enough reason to spend such astronomical sums of money, and the reason appears to be hottest prove that humanity is headed to speed express train to a climate catastrophe caused ... by a small increase of 0.6 º C in 150 years the temperature has been called "global."

Climate researchers have discovered that to achieve the extension of subsidies and research grants (and the maintenance of their highly paid jobs) when filling the application forms for funds, the use of two magic words achieved the miracle of the allocation of funds. Those magic words are: "Global Warming", or failing that, "Climate Change." Those who do not investigate the climate to show that the slight warming will be catastrophic, they get the funds and should focus clean car windshields at traffic lights or corner grocery checkers.

A common way to send a message on global warming alarmist is to play with the colors of graphics. The following two graphs give an example: the first is the way NASA has a hot red image of your predictions. The red color sends a tremendous emotional message:

Correcting the color palette with a simple graphics program, and moving toward the blue color in proportion, the effect is totally different. But no one be alarmed ...

The last warning of disasters is the study which found that there is snow that melts in Antarctica and then turns to ice. This was announced to the press release from NASA, we will analyze and comment piece by piece. It is important to note the wording and conclusions of the "scientific." Of course, there is no study that does not end up saying: "We must continue to investigate this phenomenon to understand the causes and possible consequences." In other words, although not expressed in a way so sincere, "we need more money to learn a little more, because we have not discovered anything new."

the press release was published by the website NASA, and reprinted by many newspapers and sites the Internet. In Argentina, the daily La Nacion on Thursday, May 17, 2007 puts it, but we prefer our translation of the original site. Let the press release: NASA

Discover Vast Regions of West Antarctica Melted
in the recent past

RELEASE PARTY
Source: Jet Propulsion Laboratory

A team of NASA and university scientists has found clear evidence that extensive areas of snow in West Antarctica melted in January 2005 in response to warm temperatures. This was her first widespread melting ever detected by NASA's QuickScat satellite, and more extensive melting detected using satellites in the past three decades. Combined, the affected regions include an area the size of California. Son Nghiem of the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., and Konrad Steffen, director of the Institute Cooperative Research in Environmental Sciences at the University of Colorado, Boulder, led the team. Using data from QuickScat measured accumulation and melt in Antarctica and Greenland from July 1999 to July 2005.

The QuickScat is a satellite that measures wind speed near the sea surface, and is used for tracking hurricanes, and studies on the trade winds associated with El Niño. Has been successful in these investigations. The measurements were made using an instrument called a scatterometer, "or" meter dispersion "or diffusion of waves. No other satellite heights measured rate of "gravity" that are used to measure the height of the Greenland ice sheet Greenland and Antarctica [1], and have shown growth in the middle of the ice on both continents, and a slight decrease in coast of Greenland.

Allmetsat website defines it thus, and will forgive the translator who wrote the page because he knows very little English:

http://es.allmetsat.com/satelite-quikscat.php

Instrument: difusiómetro

A radar scatterometer is a high frequency of the microwave (from 13.4 GHz) specifically designed to measure wind speed and wind direction near the ocean surface. As the wind blows concluded [sic] the ocean, the surface is roughened by the generation of capillary waves of centimeter scale. They modify the characteristics of the signal reflected from the ocean surface.

measures are not stopped by the clouds. However, the measurement is disturbed by the whole phenomenon that destroys the capillary waves: rain, very weak winds or strong winds (above 20 m / s). Between 3 m / s and 20 m / s, the accuracy of wind speed is 2 m / s accuracy in the direction is 20 degrees.

Release Date: June 19, 1999

is, according to NASA, the instrument is not very accurate when the winds are above 20 meters per second, ie, a wind of 72 mph is enough to make their measurements questionable. Not many days of calm winds in Antarctica, where winds are common over 250 kph, but maybe the times when the satellite passed over the region, the wind was not entirely calm or above the 72 mph. Of course, the measurements were found to be melting in summer because in winter the average temperature in the region is below -40 º C below zero, even hot winds coming from the west. The study might clarify it, but the press release does not. Let's see:

The observed melting occurred in multiple distinct regions, including well inland, at high latitudes and high elevations, where melt was considered unlikely. Evidence of melting was found up to 900 miles inland from the ocean, beyond the 85 º S (About 500 km to the South Pole) and more than 2000 meters above the sea level. The maximum temperature at the time of melting were unusually high, reaching 5 º C in one of the affected areas. Remained above freezing for a week.

Temperature and Methods

is necessary to make a brief remark on the subject: the rules according to weather, temperatures are measured at 2 meters above the surface, whether land firm or ocean buoys to minimize the effect of heat radiation from the ground. On land usually heat greater near the ground, and depends on the material that reflects sunlight or radiation incident if there is no sun (or night, for example). It is well known that if in a paved road the air temperature is 30 º C, a few centimeters of the surface is much higher, sometimes reaching more than 50 or 60 ° C. On grass the increase is significantly smaller.

But if a 2 m to 5 º C, in a snowy field surface temperature is at zero degrees or less, especially in Antarctica. Why were 5 º C in parts of the region? The article says that there "to" 5 º C in "some parts". Those who are not alert to the wording, possibly believe that there were 5 º C from the surface to several meters.

But the fact is that for several years, wind patterns in and around Antarctica have changed, and winds blowing from the east before, now do it from the West. These changes result from several normal weather events, including the flow of stratospheric winds known called Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (it changes direction every two years or less), and many meteorologists attributed the variation in the size of the famous Hole Ozone in the Antarctic spring and effects on rainfall in Africa, South America and Australia.

The change in wind patterns, which also occur in the Arctic and are responsible for the decrease in the ice of the north pole, are the culprits of the Antarctic Peninsula has increased its temperature about 2 ° C in the past five years. Is attributed to the change of winds in the 2002 collapse of the ice shelf known as Larsen B, by accelerating the contribution of ice from the west towards the barrier, which eventually collapsed under excessive weight. This ice is not "melted" too much weight but ended up breaking the ground anchors I had the giant ice shelf. It was like an ice balcony, half floating in the sea, but supported by its ends anchored on the ground.

These warm winds blowing from the west, where there is a large ice pack as in the eastern side of Antarctica (as shown on the maps below, which compares the extent of ice in summer and winter) heated the Peninsula and now they did in 2005 with the coasts of the western part.

The Antarctic ice

Nothing but a natural phenomenon, where global warming has nothing to do. The fact is that the snow on the highest parts of the West Antarctic coast was hit by these strong winds "up to 5 º C" by the snow-melt momentarily. Let's see what the scientists say the study:

"Antarctica has shown little or no warming in the recent past with the exception of the Antarctic Peninsula, but now large regions are showing the first signs of the impact of warming played by this satellite analysis, " Steffen said.

"Increases in snowmelt, such as the 2005, could definitively will have an impact on large-scale melting of the ice sheet of Antarctica if sustained over time."


In fact, Antarctica is not only heated, but was cooled for about 35 years, as shown by the records of stations in the Amundsen base, Halley, Suwa, or Scott:

Halley Base, in West Antarctica
Source: NASA / GISS

Mr. Steffen's assertions are on their own, but there is no reason for that is associated with snow melt to global warming. None. They are the warm winds from the Pacific Ocean that affected the region. But from that statement with no basis in reality, Mr. Steffen adventure view that if this phenomenon continues for a long time to come, the ice sheet of Antarctica will melt. But is maintained over time in this heat? The same "scientists" say no.

The "scatterometer" (Or scattering measuring device) sends radar pulses to the surface of the ice that bounce back. When the snow melts and freezes again, turns to ice, like an ice cream crystallizes when left muco air time and is then refrozen. The QuickScat can differentiate the digital fingerprint of the ice that the snow cover and can map on a continental scale the extent of melting and subsequent strong subsequent formation of ice. The available measurements of ground stations and validating the results of the satellite.

Heat should not have been so great, nor has it lasted so long, as the snow melted water became freeze! The result has been that the level in the region fell because a meter of snow that turns to ice becomes 2 or 3 inches of solid ice. And this melt, cause an increase in sea level of 7 meters, as prophesied in his film Al Gore won an Oscar for "scientific fantasy?

The 2005 melt was intense enough to create an extensive ice layer when water is frozen again after melting. However, the melt was not prolonged enough to melt water which flowed into the sea.

Well, well. We take a load off. The water will not reach the sea. The blood will not reach the River. So to alarm the people with foolish predictions, without any reflection in reality? We explain, or try to put things so that the alarm and fear will not be lost:

"Water from melted snow can penetrate into ice sheets through cracks and narrow tubular chimneys called" moulins "said Steffen. "If enough melt water is available, it could get to the bottom of the ice. This water can lubricate the underside of the ice layer in the bedrock, causing the ice mass to move toward the ocean faster, increasing sea \u200b\u200blevel. "

Obviously, the amount of water has not been (or will be) enough to penetrate the" moulins "and slide on the ice to the sea. Because the water melted the snow, barely touches the surface of the ice to freeze again. The rivers of water that are precipitated in cracks, we have seen in pictures and videos, including Gore's film, occur in other warmer regions of Antarctica during the month of January, when the sun heats up and ends up frozen at As it falls through the cracks of several thousand meters of Antarctic ice.

"Changes in the mass de hielo de la Antártida, el reservorio de agua dulce más grande de la tierra, son importantes para comprender el aumento global del nivel del mar. Grandes cantidades de agua dulce fluyendo de la Antártida en el océano podrían afectar la salinidad del océano, las corrientes y el clima global.”

Esta es otra afirmación que no se correlaciona con la realidad. La posibilidad de que la capa de hielo antártico se derrita es una eventualidad que nunca se ha dado en la historia del planeta. La activi-dad solar debería aumentar de una manera tal que achicharraría a la gente y toda otra forma de vida en la Tierra. Simplemente, cuando eso ocurra, y es una posibilidad cierta, llevaría algunos varios million years to happen, unless the sun explodes as a supernova. Then there is nothing that mankind can do but pray and commend all the Saints of Heaven.

Nghiem said no further melting has been detected through March 2007, more monitoring is needed. "The scaterometría is like X-rays to see through the ice and ice sheets are below as soon as possible," he said. "It is vital that we continue monitoring this region to determine whether it is developing a long-term trend."

Another development that brings us more burden. If warming theory states that the steady global increase in CO2 will cause a steady increase in the heat, we see that in this case the prophecy has been fulfilled. The region is not followed by heating and then things continue as more and more cold.

QuickScat The information is helping scientists better understand how ice sheets of Antarctica and Greenland gain or lose mass. "We need to know what's going in and out of the ice sheets," Nghiem said. "The QuickScat information, combined with information on all NASA's ICESat satellite and Climate Experiment Gravity Recovery (Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment), with measurements and ground planes all contribute to a more accurate estimate of how ice sheets are changing.

What's coming in, and increasingly, is snow that is thickening the ice thickness of Antarctica and Greenland. Why? Because the observed warming of 0.6 º C leads to greater evaporation from the oceans, which is then deposited in Antarctica as a heavy snowfall that increase the thickness of the ice and help reduce the level of the seas. The volume of sea water from accumulated on land and will remain frozen for thousands of years.

warming, natural well of course, is a result of climate output from the land of the so called Little Ice Age, began around the 15th century, when the Sun's magnetic activity decreased to almost zero, and for 70 years did not show staining the surface of the sun. Occurred during the climatic period known as the Maunder solar minimum twice, between 1640 and 1711, which like the other double solar minima (Dalton, Spoerer, Gleissberg, etc.) cooling the Earth's climate by several degrees, causing real disaster the societies of the time.

sunspots between 1600 and 2000

But, as always, the recommendation of scientists is the same: "We must continue research Gando this phenomenon (although it does not matter) but this requires give us more money. " The old story is repeated and repeated, and people seem not to learn from mistakes.

The issue is clear. If a scientist says there is a problem, why we will give money to continue to investigate a problem that does not exist?

References 1. WEST ANTARCTIC ICE SHEET AIRBORNE GRAVIMETRY, RE Bell VA Childers, RA Arko, M. Studinger http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/res/pi/WAIS/

By: Eduardo Ferreyra President of FAEC
Argentina de Ecologia Science Foundation

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The myth of climate change in Kyoto

The myth of climate change

The Michael Crichton's environmental novel State of Fear has many enjoyable passages, like the delightfully appropriate destination for eco-invented Hollywood poseur to Martin Sheen. But at a certain moment, the protagonist makes a quietly sensible point: after ten years, every activist group pressure should close the bar.

time, regardless of the impact they've had on whatever cause they're hot, they're chiefly invested in perpetuating their own indispensability.

That's what happened to the environmental movement. Denouncing the meeting of the Asia-Pacific that starts today [1] in Sydney, the fossils appear Ecot are running out of fuel. "It is clear that short-term benefits of fossil fuel companies have more in Canberra that the health and long-term welfare of ordinary Australians," says Clive Hamilton of the Australia Institute, ignoring the fact that "health and long-term welfare "that ordinary Australians enjoy is not without some connection with fossil fuels.

"Relying solely on technology to address greenhouse emissions is like trying to empty a bathtub with the water running, just can not, "says Labour's spokesperson for environmental issues, Anthony Albanese. So Labor's policy is to close the tap?

Even if not unhinged the" consensus "global environment, it would worth celebrating the meeting of the Asia-Pacific region. In environmental policy, the short-term eco-establishment count for more than health and long-term wellbeing of ordinary Australians, New Zealanders, or even the Indians and Nigerians. They have more than the long-term reputation of scientific institutions.

Hence the famous graph of "hockey stick", which meant that the climate of the last thousand years is like a continuous, flat bungalow millennium-long, a skyscraper tacked to the twentieth century. This graph was almost laughably fraudulent, because it used a formula that would generate a hockey stick shape whatever data were included, even if they were completely random data generated by computer. But the power of the eco-lobby that this fraud became the cornerstone of UN reports on global warming. If is happening, why is it necessary to lie?

Well, the problem for those who worship the Kyoto Protocol is that the approaching end of the world is never quite as close as you want. Thirty years ago, Lowell Ponte published a huge bestseller called The Cooling: Has begun a new Ice Age? Can we survive? Answers: No, not yet started. Yes we can.

So when the new Ice Age predicted in the 70 did not occur, the eco-crowd moved to global warming, in 80, and then more recently, to consider each weather phenomenon conceivable as evidence of global warming: the lack of global warmth is evidence of global warming, but the frost, ice, snow, glaciers, they're all signs of global warming. If you live in England, where there are 12 º C and is partly cloudy throughout the summer and there are 11.5 º C and cloudy during the winter, that dramatic climate change is also evidence of global warming.

Climate Change: this is the new slogan of those days. We have to stop or reverse it, before it destroys the planet. And if not destroyed, around 2011, kiotócratas cited the absence of climate change as evidence climate change. They are, literally, a church, and under the Holy Book of Kyoto their bishops demand that the major industrial nations will deliver the tithe. That is, they will never follow the advice of Crichton.

So, the best alternative is the Asia-Pacific, the "coalition of the emitting": Australia, USA, India, China, Japan and South Korea. These nations are responsible for about half the emissions of greenhouse gases, and by 2050 account for roughly 75% of global GDP. In other words, these are the players that matter. And, unlike the Kyotophiles, their strategy is not a form of cultural self-flagellation. America and Western Australia will be the technology available to developing countries to accelerate their development, so you do not have to spend a century and a half with belching smokestacks glowering over grimy cities, as they had to make the first industrialized nations.

My only problem with this is that, in a government of Australia, noted for his obvious devotion healthy disdain for the transnational, the minister Environment seems to have passed too much time sniffing the old CO2 in the eco-lobby parties. As Matt Price reported in these pages last year:

"Emerging from a bushwalk Tarkine forest in northwest Tasmania, Environment Minister Ian Campbell told The Australian that the debate on the causes and impacts of global warming, in practice, was over: "I think the Australian government should tell the public the way things are '."

By God, to "tell it like it is" refers to count as it has done 30 years ago: "Australia and other industrialized nations need to take urgent action to avert environmental disaster. "

Really? You know, I do not like to complain, but maybe that Tarkine forest is part of the problem. Here's a headline in the National Post Canada, on Friday: "Forests may contribute to global warming: study." This was at Stanford University. developed a model forest that covered most of the Northern Hemisphere and found that the global temperature increased three degrees, several times what it is supposed to do CO2 emissions.

In relation to the heat, a forest is like a woman with a black burka in the middle of the Iraqi desert. In my state of New Hampshire Forests have many more than we did a century or two. Could reforestation be causing more global warming than my Chevrolet Resource 700m-per-liter? Clearly I need several million dollars to investigate further.

I said above that any day of Kyotophiles will be citing the absence of climate change as evidence of climate change. But essentially, that's what we've been doing for years. For example, Rutgers University, just before Christmas, a press release entitled "Global Warming twice the rate of sea level rise. " Wow, sell that property right on the beach! If things continue like that, the excitable "young" in Sydney [2] will have to rampage in a wetsuit.

But wait, what exactly do you mean "double" and "rhythm"? Kenneth Miller claims to have proved that for 5,000 years until about 200, the sea level rise was about 1mm to year. But since 1850 it has been growing 2mm a year. That is, it doubled sometime in the nineteenth century and has remained there ever since, undeterred, apparently, to the industrialization of Europe, China, India and much of the rest of Asia, and before the invention of the automobile , deodorant spray and a private jet used Barbra Streisand when she flew to Washington to discuss global warming with President Clinton. But nobody thought to lead the news with "The rate of sea level rise, unchanged for a century and a half."

If the current rate, the Maldives will be submerged by the year 2500. Of course, by then, if the current level of population decline, most of Russia and Europe will be empty, and we could resettle the 350,000 maldivenses on the Riviera.

O and could cripple the global economy.

One day the world will marvel at the environmental hysteria of our time and to corruption, deeply damaging, science, provoking an alarmist cult. The best thing that could make the meeting this week is to inculcate a certain modesty, at least in Senator Ian Campbell, to a subject that is almost entirely speculative. We do not know how or why climate change. What we do know is that it has dramatically along the planet's history (changes as the so-called "Little Ice Age, which began in 600, when I was still driving a Ford Oxcart) and compared The industrial era has been a time of relative stability. But, of course, as with that "hockey stick" depends on how you draw the curve.

One question: why global warming advocates begin their terrifying statistics with "since 1970"? Well, because "since 1970" has been a global surface warming of half a degree or so. But from 1940 to 1970, temperatures fell. Well, why should it? Who knows? Maybe it was Hitler. Perhaps the world wars are good for the planet.

Or maybe we should all aspire to a deep breath and calm down CO2.

[1] This article was originally published in The Australian on June 11.

[2] A reference to a disturbance in Australia recently featuring Muslims, the press originally called "youth groups excited "

By: Mark Steyn
Source: Journal Digital Freedom
Spain - 2006